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From Electricity Savings to Investment Growth: A Thought Experiment

A €25 smart plug saves ~240 CHF per year on your water heater electricity bill. What if you never touched that money and invested it instead? Here is what 20–30 years of compound interest looks like.

This article is a thought experiment and educational illustration only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investment returns are not guaranteed. Past performance of any fund or index does not predict future results. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Source: Google Gemini

The Device That Pays For Itself — And Keeps Paying

A Shelly Plug S Gen3 costs around €25. Connected to a 200-litre water heater and managed by Elewatt, it runs the heater exclusively during the cheapest hours of each day — typically 1am–5am, when Nord Pool spot prices in Estonia are lowest.

The math works out like this: a 2 kW water heater running for 3 hours costs roughly 2–3 times less per kWh at night than during morning peak hours. Over a full year, the difference in electricity cost for that single device adds up to €400–500. The device pays for itself in under three weeks. After that, it is generating pure savings every single day.

Device cost

23 CHF

Shelly Plug S Gen3

per year, 200L water heater

~€400–500

per year, 200L water heater

to recoup the cost

2–3 weeks

to recoup the cost

The Thought Experiment

Now here is the question this article is really about: what if, instead of letting those savings disappear into everyday spending, you treated them as a fixed investment budget?

240 CHF per year is 20 CHF per month. On its own, that does not sound like much. But invested consistently over a long period, compound interest turns it into something that surprises most people.

The table below shows what 240 CHF/year grows to over time, assuming you invest it at the start of each year and leave it untouched.

Energy · Time

11.6 kWh · ~6 h

Nord Pool avg (Mar 2025–Mar 2026) · c/kWh

0:00 · 14.0c
1:00 · 13.9c
2:00 · 13.0c
3:00 · 12.6c
4:00 · 12.5c
5:00 · 13.1c
6:00 · 16.1c
7:00 · 22.2c
8:00 · 24.5c
9:00 · 26.3c
10:00 · 24.0c
11:00 · 22.5c
12:00 · 18.3c
13:00 · 18.2c
14:00 · 18.2c
15:00 · 18.6c
16:00 · 23.0c
17:00 · 24.6c
18:00 · 27.2c
19:00 · 29.2c
20:00 · 26.3c
21:00 · 24.6c
22:00 · 18.6c
23:00 · 16.2c
Cheapest 6hPeak 6h

With Elewatt

13.2 c/kWh

1.41 CHF

Without Elewatt

26.4 c/kWh

2.83 CHF

Your savings

Per day

1.42 CHF

Per month

42.45 CHF

Per year

516.48 CHF

Yearly avg Nord Pool prices, Estonia. Assumes 1 cycle/day, 2 kW heater. Grid fees: Elektrilevi.

Based on your heater settings above: 239 CHF/yr invested annually
10y
Total invested
2,393 CHF
At 5%/year
3,010 CHF+617 CHF
At 7%/year
3,306 CHF+913 CHF
III sammas 7%
4,039 CHF
15y
Total invested
3,590 CHF
At 5%/year
5,164 CHF+1,574 CHF
At 7%/year
6,013 CHF+2,423 CHF
III sammas 7%
7,345 CHF
20y
Total invested
4,786 CHF
At 5%/year
7,913 CHF+3,127 CHF
At 7%/year
9,809 CHF+5,024 CHF
III sammas 7%
11,984 CHF
25y
Total invested
5,983 CHF
At 5%/year
11,420 CHF+5,438 CHF
At 7%/year
15,134 CHF+9,152 CHF
III sammas 7%
18,488 CHF
30y
Total invested
7,179 CHF
At 5%/year
15,898 CHF+8,719 CHF
At 7%/year
22,603 CHF+15,425 CHF
III sammas 7%
27,611 CHF

Assumes 239 CHF/yr invested at the start of each year, compound growth, no withdrawals. 5% approximates a conservative balanced fund; 7% approximates a broad global equity index fund long-term average. Returns are not guaranteed.

The Estonian Advantage: III Sammas

For Estonian residents, there is an extra layer to this thought experiment: the third pillar pension (III sammas). Contributions to a voluntary pension fund are deductible from your taxable income — up to 15% of your gross annual income or €6,000, whichever is lower.

At Estonia's 22% income tax rate, investing 240 CHF into a third pillar fund gives you approximately 53 CHF back as a tax refund. Your net cost is just 187 CHF — but your invested amount is still 240 CHF. That is a guaranteed 28% return on your first euro before your fund earns a single cent.

If you reinvest the tax refund as well, you are investing ~292 CHF per year for the out-of-pocket cost of 240 CHF. After 30 years at 7%, that grows to roughly 27,611 CHF.

The tax bonus in numbers

240 CHF invested in III sammas → ~53 CHF tax refund → effective cost 187 CHF. Or: invest both 240 CHF + 53 CHF refund = 292 CHF/year. At 7% annual return over 30 years, 292 CHF/year grows to approximately 27,611 CHF.

You invest

240 CHF

into III sammas per year

Tax refund

~53 CHF

returned at 22% income tax

Net cost

187 CHF

actual out-of-pocket per year

Keeping It in Perspective

None of this is a recommendation. Whether to invest, where, and how much depends on your personal circumstances, income, existing savings, debts, and risk tolerance — things only you (and ideally a financial advisor) can assess.

What this exercise does show is that the compounding effect of a consistent, modest annual contribution is significant over long time horizons. And electricity savings are a real, recurring source of that kind of modest annual sum.

The first step is reducing the electricity bill. The second step — if and when it makes sense for you — is deciding what to do with the difference.

Start Here: Get the Savings First

Before any of the above becomes relevant, you need the 240 CHF/year in savings to exist. That starts with smart automation — connecting your water heater, EV charger, or other high-consumption devices to a system that acts on real electricity prices.

Automate your savings with Elewatt

Elewatt connects to your Shelly devices and automatically runs them during the cheapest hours of each day. Set it up once — it handles the rest.

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