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Personal Finance · Thought Experiment

From Electricity Savings to Investment Growth: A Thought Experiment

A €25 smart plug saves ~1,108 zł per year on your water heater electricity bill. What if you never touched that money and invested it instead? Here is what 20–30 years of compound interest looks like.

This article is a thought experiment and educational illustration only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investment returns are not guaranteed. Past performance of any fund or index does not predict future results. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Źródło: Google Gemini

The Device That Pays For Itself — And Keeps Paying

A Shelly Plug S Gen3 costs around €25. Connected to a 200-litre water heater and managed by Elewatt, it runs the heater exclusively during the cheapest hours of each day — typically 1am–5am, when Nord Pool spot prices in Estonia are lowest.

The math works out like this: a 2 kW water heater running for 3 hours costs roughly 2–3 times less per kWh at night than during morning peak hours. Over a full year, the difference in electricity cost for that single device adds up to €400–500. The device pays for itself in under three weeks. After that, it is generating pure savings every single day.

Device cost

107 zł

Shelly Plug S Gen3

per year, 200L water heater

~€400–500

per year, 200L water heater

to recoup the cost

2–3 weeks

to recoup the cost

The Thought Experiment

Now here is the question this article is really about: what if, instead of letting those savings disappear into everyday spending, you treated them as a fixed investment budget?

1,108 zł per year is 94 zł per month. On its own, that does not sound like much. But invested consistently over a long period, compound interest turns it into something that surprises most people.

The table below shows what 1,108 zł/year grows to over time, assuming you invest it at the start of each year and leave it untouched.

Energia · czas

11.6 kWh · ~6 h

Średnia Nord Pool (mar 2025–mar 2026) · gr/kWh

0:00 · 14.0c
1:00 · 13.9c
2:00 · 13.0c
3:00 · 12.6c
4:00 · 12.5c
5:00 · 13.1c
6:00 · 16.1c
7:00 · 22.2c
8:00 · 24.5c
9:00 · 26.3c
10:00 · 24.0c
11:00 · 22.5c
12:00 · 18.3c
13:00 · 18.2c
14:00 · 18.2c
15:00 · 18.6c
16:00 · 23.0c
17:00 · 24.6c
18:00 · 27.2c
19:00 · 29.2c
20:00 · 26.3c
21:00 · 24.6c
22:00 · 18.6c
23:00 · 16.2c
Najtaniej 6hSzczyt 6h

Z Elewatt

13.2 gr/kWh

6.53

Bez Elewatt

26.4 gr/kWh

13.07

Twoje oszczędności

Dziennie

6.54

Miesięcznie

196.14

Rocznie

2386.37

Średnie roczne ceny Nord Pool, Estonia. Zakłada 1 cykl/dzień, grzałka 2 kW. Opłaty sieciowe: Elektrilevi.

Based on your heater settings above: 1106 /yr invested annually
10y
Total invested
11,056 zł
At 5%/year
13,906 zł+2,850 zł
At 7%/year
15,274 zł+4,218 zł
III sammas 7%
18,661 zł
15y
Total invested
16,586 zł
At 5%/year
23,859 zł+7,273 zł
At 7%/year
27,783 zł+11,197 zł
III sammas 7%
33,939 zł
20y
Total invested
22,112 zł
At 5%/year
36,559 zł+14,447 zł
At 7%/year
45,323 zł+23,211 zł
III sammas 7%
55,369 zł
25y
Total invested
27,642 zł
At 5%/year
52,766 zł+25,124 zł
At 7%/year
69,928 zł+42,285 zł
III sammas 7%
85,423 zł
30y
Total invested
33,168 zł
At 5%/year
73,455 zł+40,287 zł
At 7%/year
104,438 zł+71,270 zł
III sammas 7%
127,576 zł

Assumes 1106 zł/yr invested at the start of each year, compound growth, no withdrawals. 5% approximates a conservative balanced fund; 7% approximates a broad global equity index fund long-term average. Returns are not guaranteed.

The Estonian Advantage: III Sammas

For Estonian residents, there is an extra layer to this thought experiment: the third pillar pension (III sammas). Contributions to a voluntary pension fund are deductible from your taxable income — up to 15% of your gross annual income or €6,000, whichever is lower.

At Estonia's 22% income tax rate, investing 1,108 zł into a third pillar fund gives you approximately 243 zł back as a tax refund. Your net cost is just 865 zł — but your invested amount is still 1,108 zł. That is a guaranteed 28% return on your first euro before your fund earns a single cent.

If you reinvest the tax refund as well, you are investing ~1,351 zł per year for the out-of-pocket cost of 1,108 zł. After 30 years at 7%, that grows to roughly 127,576 zł.

The tax bonus in numbers

1,108 zł invested in III sammas → ~243 zł tax refund → effective cost 865 zł. Or: invest both 1,108 zł + 243 zł refund = 1,351 zł/year. At 7% annual return over 30 years, 1,351 zł/year grows to approximately 127,576 zł.

You invest

1,108 zł

into III sammas per year

Tax refund

~243 zł

returned at 22% income tax

Net cost

865 zł

actual out-of-pocket per year

Keeping It in Perspective

None of this is a recommendation. Whether to invest, where, and how much depends on your personal circumstances, income, existing savings, debts, and risk tolerance — things only you (and ideally a financial advisor) can assess.

What this exercise does show is that the compounding effect of a consistent, modest annual contribution is significant over long time horizons. And electricity savings are a real, recurring source of that kind of modest annual sum.

The first step is reducing the electricity bill. The second step — if and when it makes sense for you — is deciding what to do with the difference.

Start Here: Get the Savings First

Before any of the above becomes relevant, you need the 1,108 zł/year in savings to exist. That starts with smart automation — connecting your water heater, EV charger, or other high-consumption devices to a system that acts on real electricity prices.

Automate your savings with Elewatt

Elewatt connects to your Shelly devices and automatically runs them during the cheapest hours of each day. Set it up once — it handles the rest.

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