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From Electricity Savings to Investment Growth: A Thought Experiment

A €25 smart plug saves ~6,578 Kč per year on your water heater electricity bill. What if you never touched that money and invested it instead? Here is what 20–30 years of compound interest looks like.

This article is a thought experiment and educational illustration only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investment returns are not guaranteed. Past performance of any fund or index does not predict future results. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Source: Google Gemini

The Device That Pays For Itself — And Keeps Paying

A Shelly Plug S Gen3 costs around €25. Connected to a 200-litre water heater and managed by Elewatt, it runs the heater exclusively during the cheapest hours of each day — typically 1am–5am, when Nord Pool spot prices in Estonia are lowest.

The math works out like this: a 2 kW water heater running for 3 hours costs roughly 2–3 times less per kWh at night than during morning peak hours. Over a full year, the difference in electricity cost for that single device adds up to €400–500. The device pays for itself in under three weeks. After that, it is generating pure savings every single day.

Device cost

633 Kč

Shelly Plug S Gen3

per year, 200L water heater

~€400–500

per year, 200L water heater

to recoup the cost

2–3 weeks

to recoup the cost

The Thought Experiment

Now here is the question this article is really about: what if, instead of letting those savings disappear into everyday spending, you treated them as a fixed investment budget?

6,578 Kč per year is 557 Kč per month. On its own, that does not sound like much. But invested consistently over a long period, compound interest turns it into something that surprises most people.

The table below shows what 6,578 Kč/year grows to over time, assuming you invest it at the start of each year and leave it untouched.

Energy · Time

11.6 kWh · ~6 h

Nord Pool avg (Mar 2025–Mar 2026) · c/kWh

0:00 · 14.0c
1:00 · 13.9c
2:00 · 13.0c
3:00 · 12.6c
4:00 · 12.5c
5:00 · 13.1c
6:00 · 16.1c
7:00 · 22.2c
8:00 · 24.5c
9:00 · 26.3c
10:00 · 24.0c
11:00 · 22.5c
12:00 · 18.3c
13:00 · 18.2c
14:00 · 18.2c
15:00 · 18.6c
16:00 · 23.0c
17:00 · 24.6c
18:00 · 27.2c
19:00 · 29.2c
20:00 · 26.3c
21:00 · 24.6c
22:00 · 18.6c
23:00 · 16.2c
Cheapest 6hPeak 6h

With Elewatt

13.2 c/kWh

38.79

Without Elewatt

26.4 c/kWh

77.62

Your savings

Per day

38.82

Per month

1164.73

Per year

14170.89

Yearly avg Nord Pool prices, Estonia. Assumes 1 cycle/day, 2 kW heater. Grid fees: Elektrilevi.

Based on your heater settings above: 6565 /yr invested annually
10y
Total invested
65,654 Kč
At 5%/year
82,579 Kč+16,926 Kč
At 7%/year
90,701 Kč+25,047 Kč
III sammas 7%
110,814 Kč
15y
Total invested
98,493 Kč
At 5%/year
141,680 Kč+43,187 Kč
At 7%/year
164,981 Kč+66,488 Kč
III sammas 7%
201,540 Kč
20y
Total invested
131,307 Kč
At 5%/year
217,099 Kč+85,792 Kč
At 7%/year
269,141 Kč+137,834 Kč
III sammas 7%
328,799 Kč
25y
Total invested
164,146 Kč
At 5%/year
313,341 Kč+149,194 Kč
At 7%/year
415,249 Kč+251,103 Kč
III sammas 7%
507,265 Kč
30y
Total invested
196,961 Kč
At 5%/year
436,197 Kč+239,237 Kč
At 7%/year
620,179 Kč+423,218 Kč
III sammas 7%
757,583 Kč

Assumes 6565 Kč/yr invested at the start of each year, compound growth, no withdrawals. 5% approximates a conservative balanced fund; 7% approximates a broad global equity index fund long-term average. Returns are not guaranteed.

The Estonian Advantage: III Sammas

For Estonian residents, there is an extra layer to this thought experiment: the third pillar pension (III sammas). Contributions to a voluntary pension fund are deductible from your taxable income — up to 15% of your gross annual income or €6,000, whichever is lower.

At Estonia's 22% income tax rate, investing 6,578 Kč into a third pillar fund gives you approximately 1,442 Kč back as a tax refund. Your net cost is just 5,136 Kč — but your invested amount is still 6,578 Kč. That is a guaranteed 28% return on your first euro before your fund earns a single cent.

If you reinvest the tax refund as well, you are investing ~8,020 Kč per year for the out-of-pocket cost of 6,578 Kč. After 30 years at 7%, that grows to roughly 757,583 Kč.

The tax bonus in numbers

6,578 Kč invested in III sammas → ~1,442 Kč tax refund → effective cost 5,136 Kč. Or: invest both 6,578 Kč + 1,442 Kč refund = 8,020 Kč/year. At 7% annual return over 30 years, 8,020 Kč/year grows to approximately 757,583 Kč.

You invest

6,578 Kč

into III sammas per year

Tax refund

~1,442 Kč

returned at 22% income tax

Net cost

5,136 Kč

actual out-of-pocket per year

Keeping It in Perspective

None of this is a recommendation. Whether to invest, where, and how much depends on your personal circumstances, income, existing savings, debts, and risk tolerance — things only you (and ideally a financial advisor) can assess.

What this exercise does show is that the compounding effect of a consistent, modest annual contribution is significant over long time horizons. And electricity savings are a real, recurring source of that kind of modest annual sum.

The first step is reducing the electricity bill. The second step — if and when it makes sense for you — is deciding what to do with the difference.

Start Here: Get the Savings First

Before any of the above becomes relevant, you need the 6,578 Kč/year in savings to exist. That starts with smart automation — connecting your water heater, EV charger, or other high-consumption devices to a system that acts on real electricity prices.

Automate your savings with Elewatt

Elewatt connects to your Shelly devices and automatically runs them during the cheapest hours of each day. Set it up once — it handles the rest.

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